The Playbook introduces our first ever NFL Power Rankings.
Each week, teams will be ranked 1-32 based on season performance. The rankings essentially show who would win on a neutral field given normal conditions. That is, the number 1 team would be favored to win over the remaining 31 on a neutral field. The 31st ranked team would only be favored against the 32nd ranked team. Calculating power ranking is a difficult art. Scroll to the bottom to discover how we’ve calculated ours.
After a long regular season, the NFL Playoffs are set!
The #NFLPlayoffs are set! pic.twitter.com/vo4P57jduL
— NFL (@NFL) January 9, 2023
1. Philadelphia Eagles | 14-3
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Jalen Hurts: 3701
Rushing | Miles Sanders: 1269
Receiving | AJ Brown: 1496
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | TJ Edwards: 159
Sacks | Haason Reddick: 16
Interceptions | CJ Gardner-Johnson: 6
2. Buffalo Bills | 13-3
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Josh Allen: 4238
Rushing | Devin Singletary: 819
Receiving | Stefon Diggs: 1429
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Tremaine Edmunds: 102
Sacks | Von Miller: 8
Interceptions | Jordan Poyer: 4
3. Kansas City Chiefs | 14-3
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Patrick Mahomes: 5250
Rushing | Isiah Pacheco: 830
Receiving | Travis Kelce: 1338
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Nick Bolton: 180
Sacks | Chris Jones: 15.5
Interceptions | Juan Thornhill: 3
4. Cincinnati Bengals | 12-4
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Joe Burrow: 4475
Rushing | Joe Mixon: 814
Receiving | Tee Higgins: 1046
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Logan Wilson: 123
Sacks | Trey Hendrickson: 8
Interceptions | Vonn Bell: 4
5. San Francisco 49ers | 13-4
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Jimmy Garoppolo: 2437
Rushing | Christian McCaffrey: 746
Receiving | Brandon Aiyuk: 1015
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Fred Warner: 130
Sacks | Nick Bosa: 18.5
Interceptions | Tashaun Gipson: 5
6. Dallas Cowboys | 12-5
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Dak Prescott: 2860
Rushing | Tony Pollard: 1007
Receiving | CeeDee Lamb: 1359
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Donovan Wilson: 101
Sacks | Micah Parsons: 13.5
Interceptions | DaRon Bland: 5
7. Minnesota Vikings | 13-4
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Kirk Cousins: 4547
Rushing | Dalvin Cook: 1173
Receiving | Justin Jefferson: 1809
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Eric Kendricks: 137
Sacks | Danielle Hunter: 10.5
Interceptions | Patrick Peterson: 5
8. Los Angeles Chargers | 10-7
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Justin Herbert: 4739
Rushing | Austin Eckler: 915
Receiving | Mike Williams: 895
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Drue Tranquil: 146
Sacks | Khalil Mack: 8
Interceptions | Bryce Callahan: 3
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8-9
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Tom Brady: 4694
Rushing | Leonard Fournette: 668
Receiving | Mike Evans: 1124
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Devin White: 124
Sacks | Vita Vea: 6.5
Interceptions | Mike Edwards: 2
10. Jacksonville Jaguars | 9-8
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Trevor Lawrence: 4113
Rushing | Travis Etienne Jr: 1125
Receiving | Christian Kirk: 1108
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Foyesade Oluokun: 184
Sacks | Josh Allen: 6
Interceptions | Rayshawn Jenkins: 3
11. New York Giants | 9-7-1
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Daniel Jones: 3205
Rushing | Saquon Barkley: 1312
Receiving | Darius Slayton: 724
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Julian Love: 124
Sacks | Dexter Lawrence: 7.5
Interceptions | Julian Love: 2
12. Baltimore Ravens | 10-7
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Lamar Jackson: 2242
Rushing | Lamar Jackson: 764
Receiving | Mark Andrews: 847
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Patrick Queen: 117
Sacks | Justin Houston: 9.5
Interceptions | Marcus Williams: 4
13. Seattle Seahawks | 9-8
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Geno Smith: 4282
Rushing | Kenneth Walker III: 1050
Receiving | DK Metcalf: 1048
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Jordyn Brooks: 161
Sacks | Uchenna Nwosu: 9.5
Interceptions | Tariq Woolen: 6
14. Miami Dolphins | 9-8
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Tua Tagovailoa: 3548
Rushing | Raheem Mostert: 891
Receiving | Tyreek Hill: 1710
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Elandon Roberts: 107
Sacks | Jaelan Phillips: 7
Interceptions | Jevon Holland: 2
15. Detroit Lions | 9-8
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Jared Goff: 4438
Rushing | Jamaal Williams: 1066
Receiving | Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1161
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Alex Anzalone: 125
Sacks | Aidan Hutchinson: 9.5
Interceptions | Kerby Joseph: 4
16. Green Bay Packers | 8-9
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Aaron Rodgers: 3695
Rushing | Aaron Jones: 1121
Receiving | Allen Lazard: 788
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Quay Walker: 121
Sacks | Preston Smith: 8.5
Interceptions | Jaire Alexander: 5
17. New England Patriots | 8-9
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Mac Jones: 2997
Rushing | Rhamondre Stevenson: 1040
Receiving | Jakobi Meyers: 804
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Ja’Whaun Bentley: 125
Sacks | Matthew Judon: 15.5
Interceptions | Jonathan Jones: 4
18. Cleveland Browns | 7-10
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Jacoby Brissett: 2608
Rushing | Nick Chubb: 1525
Receiving | Amari Cooper: 1160
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Grant Delpit: 105
Sacks | Myles Garrett: 16
Interceptions | Grant Delpit: 4
19. Washington Commanders | 8-8-1
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Taylor Heinicke: 1859
Rushing | Brian Robinson: 797
Receiving | Terry McLaurin: 1191
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Jamin Davis: 104
Sacks | Daron Payne: 11.5
Interceptions | Darrick Forrest: 4
20. Pittsburgh Steelers | 9-8
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Kenny Pickett: 2404
Rushing | Najee Harris: 1038
Receiving | Diontae Johnson: 882
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Myles Jack: 104
Sacks | Alex Highsmith: 14.5
Interceptions | Minkah Fitzpatrick: 6
21. Tennessee Titans | 7-10
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Ryan Tannehill: 2536
Rushing | Derrick Henry: 1538
Receiving | Robert Woods: 527
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Kevin Byard: 108
Sacks | Denico Autry: 8
Interceptions | Kevin Byard: 4
22. New York Jets | 7-10
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Zach Wilson: 1688
Rushing | Breece Hall: 463
Receiving | Garrett Wilson: 1103
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | CJ Mosley: 158
Sacks | Quinnen Williams: 12
Interceptions | Lamarcus Joyner: 3
23. Atlanta Falcons | 7-10
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Marcus Mariota: 2219
Rushing | Tyler Allgeier: 1035
Receiving | Drake London: 886
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Rashaan Evans: 154
Sacks | Grady Jarrett: 6
Interceptions | Jaylinn Hawkins: 2
24. New Orleans Saints | 7-10
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Andy Dalton: 2871
Rushing | Alvin Kamara: 897
Receiving | Chris Olave: 1042
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Demario Davis: 109
Sacks | Demario Davis: 8.5
Interceptions | Tyrann Mathieu: 3
25. Las Vegas Raiders | 6-11
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Derek Carr: 3522
Rushing | Josh Jacobs: 1653
Receiving | Davante Adams: 1516
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Maxx Crosby: 88
Sacks | Maxx Crosby: 12.5
Interceptions | Duron Harmon: 2
26. Los Angeles Rams | 5-12
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Matthew Stafford: 2087
Rushing | Cam Akers: 786
Receiving | Cooper Kupp: 812
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Bobby Wagner: 140
Sacks | Leonard Floyd: 9
Interceptions | Jalen Ramsey: 4
27. Carolina Panthers | 7-10
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Sam Darnold: 1143
Rushing | D’Onta Foreman: 914
Receiving | DJ Moore: 888
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Shaq Thompson: 135
Sacks | Brian Burns: 12.5
Interceptions | Jaycee Horn: 3
28. Arizona Cardinals | 4-13
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Kyler Murray: 2368
Rushing | James Conner: 782
Receiving | DeAndre Hopkins: 717
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Budda Baker: 111
Sacks | JJ Watt: 12.5
Interceptions | Marco Wilson: 3
29. Chicago Bears | 3-14
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Justin Fields: 2242
Rushing | Justin Fields: 1143
Receiving | Cole Kmet: 544
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Nicholas Morrow: 116
Sacks | Jaquan Brisker: 4
Interceptions | Eddie Jackson: 4
30. Denver Broncos | 5-12
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Russell Wilson: 3524
Rushing | Latavius Murray: 703
Receiving | Jerry Jeudy: 972
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Alex Singleton: 163
Sacks | Dre’Mont Jones: 6.5
Interceptions | Justin Simmons: 6
31. Houston Texans | 3-13-1
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Davis Mills: 3118
Rushing | Dameon Pierce: 939
Receiving | Brandin Cooks: 699
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Jalen Pitre: 147
Sacks | Jerry Hughes: 9
Interceptions | Jalen Pitre: 5
32. Indianapolis Colts | 4-12-1
Leaders – Offense
Passing | Matt Ryan: 3057
Rushing | Jonathan Taylor: 861
Receiving | Michael Pittman Jr: 925
Leaders – Defense
Tackles | Zaire Franklin: 167
Sacks | Yannick Ngakoue: 9.5
Interceptions | Rodney Thomas: 4
*How are The Playbook Power Rankings calculated?
The Playbook has taken advantage of the vast amount of official NFL data available to source our Power Ranking. For any data enthusiasts out there, we’ve used a Pythagorean Expected Wins (PEW) formula as the basis of our calculations.
Beyond the PEW, The Playbook analyzes offensive and defensive performance at a play level, strength of schedule, injuries and other data points to create a proprietary analysis of each team.
Consistency is key. A shock win from a low ranked team might shoot them up the rankings one week, but other characteristics (roster strength, schedule difficulty e.g.) mean that a defeat the following week will see them drop a similar number of places.