EPL & Bundesliga win probabilities: 50% chance Spurs continue 100% start; Wolfsburg given a 62% chance of remaining top

It’s safe to say 2022 was a TV-worthy season for Patrick Mahomes and the #Chiefs. 📺

Mr. Box Office. 🔥

#NFL x #Quarterback twitter.com/NFL/status/167…

me on the couch now that Quarterback dropped:

@la_academiapc suffer shock defeat
📈 @DvoTachira gaining ground on the top
👏 Eduardo Lima’s heroics for @DvoLaGuaira

Here are all the major headlines and talking points from jornada 18 in the #LigaFUTVE.

#VenezuelaEsFUTVE
https://t.co/yCiP4QGlfJ

🔟 days until the @Superligaen begins.

Still plenty of time to read our analysis of the most exciting young players in Denmark right now. Which of these superstars will move on this summer? ✨

#sldk | #transferdk
https://t.co/viCwrXPU3n

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Genius Sports Predictor

The Genius Sports Predictor uses data-driven algorithms to create real-time probabilities for sporting events around-the-world.


Premier League

The Premier League returns this weekend after an international break and all the focus is on Cristiano Ronaldo making his eagerly awaited second debut for Manchester United at Old Trafford on Saturday.

According to the Genius Sports Predictor (displayed below), there is an 82% chance Manchester United beat Newcastle United on Ronaldo’s first game back.

Steve Bruce’s side are distant outsiders and are only given a 5% chance of being victorious. The draw is at 13%.

Tottenham Hotspur will be looking to continue their perfect league start under Nuno Espirito Santo and they are strong favourites according to the predictor.

Spurs are given a one in two chance of winning at Selhurst Park. Patrick Vieira’s side are winless this season and are only given a 22% chance of winning; the draw is at 28%.

Elsewhere, Arsenal are yet to win this season or even score in the Premier League this season but they are well-fancied by the predictor, who rate their chances of taking all three points at 65%.

The Canaries are also without a point and are given a 14% chance, while the draw is at 21%.

One of the more intriguing matches this weekend takes place at Elland Road as two entertaining sides go head to head.

Liverpool, who have taken seven points from nine this season, are expected to win according to the predictor. Jurgen Klopp’s side are given a 56% chance while Marcelo Bielsa’s men are outsiders at 21%. The draw is at 23%.


Bundesliga

In the Bundesliga, it is Wolfsburg who lead the way after three games. They have scored just four goals in their three games but they are the only side with a 100% record.

Mark van Bommel’s side travel to face SpVgg Greuther Fürth and are given a 62% chance of making it four wins from four. The promoted side are unlikely to taste victory at 16% while the draw is at 22%.

Julian Nagelsmann is back at his old stomping ground as his Bayern Munich side visit RB Leipzig.

Bayern raided Leipzig to sign Dayot Upamecano and Marcel Sabitzer and are expected to win at the Red Bull Arena rated as a 44% chance.

The hosts aren’t totally dismissed and are given a 30% chance. The draw is at 26%.

In another interesting clash, Borussia Dortmund are rated as 45% favourites to beat Bayer Leverkusen despite Gerardo Seoane’s side scoring four goals in each of their last two games.

Leverkusen are given a 31% chance, while the draw is at 24%.

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It’s safe to say 2022 was a TV-worthy season for Patrick Mahomes and the #Chiefs. 📺

Mr. Box Office. 🔥

#NFL x #Quarterback twitter.com/NFL/status/167…

me on the couch now that Quarterback dropped:

@la_academiapc suffer shock defeat
📈 @DvoTachira gaining ground on the top
👏 Eduardo Lima’s heroics for @DvoLaGuaira

Here are all the major headlines and talking points from jornada 18 in the #LigaFUTVE.

#VenezuelaEsFUTVE
https://t.co/yCiP4QGlfJ

🔟 days until the @Superligaen begins.

Still plenty of time to read our analysis of the most exciting young players in Denmark right now. Which of these superstars will move on this summer? ✨

#sldk | #transferdk
https://t.co/viCwrXPU3n